All The Major Time Cycles End Here: 2026/7

The Final Act of the Economic Supercycle

We’re now approaching the top of the Kondratieff Wave – one of the most powerful and predictive cycles in economics.

Nikolai Kondratieff discovered it in the 1920s. After tracking over 100 years of price and trade data – from wheat and copper to wages and coal – he found that capitalist economies don’t collapse. They reset. Roughly every 50 years.

That idea alone was enough to get him killed. Stalin didn’t want a theory that showed capitalism could survive without revolution. Kondratieff was arrested in 1930 and executed eight years later in a Soviet labour camp at the mere age of 42-years.

But his work survived. In 1939, Joseph Schumpeter revived the theory and named the K-Wave the longest and most telling cycle in the system.

Now, nearly a century on, it’s still one of the sharpest forecasting tools we have.

Executed at 42. Resurrected by Every Major Market Crash Since...

Kondratieff was fairly agnostic on the cause of the boom and busts within the long waves.

Land economist and reformer Henry George and his followers had no such confusion.

It stems from the enclosure of the economic rent of land (commodities) and all that goes with it.

This is why (as Kondratieff noted), the most disastrous and extensive wars and revolutions (to control the wealth of land) take place in the upswings of the cycle.

Konfratieff’s research showed that commodity prices bottomed in the 1770s and peaked in 1819 after the Napoleonic wars.

They bottomed again in the 1840s and peaked in the early 1860s with the US Civil War. They bottomed again in the late 1890s and peaked in the 1920s - after the First World War.

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