The Buy/Sell Indicator that Calls The Land Cycle Peak!

• This week, I’m busting the biggest myths about what really drives land price inflation.

• You'll discover the true forces behind the land cycle - and why most economists get it wrong.

• I'll show you the Buy/Sell Index that calls the peak and pictures the 18.6-year land cycle perfectly.

• Plus: I’ll answer your most important questions - is it time to buy, sell, or wait?

Mainstream Myths: Why Popular Economics Keeps You in the Dark About Land Cycles

The myths about boom/bust cycles and what can start or stop them often come from economists that are frequently featured in the mainstream media.

They always have a plethora of reasons to explain why we have high house prices in this country and, thus, why a land cycle exists at all!

But it’s precisely these myths that keep buyers trapped - because they distract from the true forces driving the land cycle. Without a clear understanding of the underlying economics, it’s easy to get lost in the noise, following headlines instead of patterns.

And when you're blind to the real cycle, you’re likely to buy and sell at exactly the wrong times.

Itʼs why I have received so many questions from readers over the years, asking if the government is tinkering with housing policy, for example, or if changes in population growth and migration patterns (such as we saw during COVID) or a world war, or currency changes etc. etc., could interrupt the land cycle and cause it to pull up early or just lose relevance.

The Man Who First Charted the Land Cycle Exposed the Distortions Before Anyone Else

In fact – this is something that Roy Wenzlick (1894 - 1988) himself pondered when researching the land cycle.

Wenzlick was one of the first – if not the first – pioneer in this field to collect data and attempt to forecast the future using the 18 year land cycle.

In the years of Wenzlick’s analysis, he noted that the length of depressions at the end of the land cycle, had been affected disproportionately by war and lack of government spending to stimulate the economy.

He also noted that the extent and length of the land cycle’s booms had also impacted by access to credit and population shifts in post war years.

Wenzlick realised that the move from the gold standard, to fiat, inflated the market further, with the peaks of each subsequent cycle exceeding the last.

When Land Prices Quietly Top Out, the Real Trouble Begins

Overall – as we see today – the peaks in median land values in any region (particularly the U.S.) can come before the major depressions in the economy that happen with regularity. (I’m talking about the pronounced stock market downturn that plummets the economy into a financial crisis. )

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