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The Long Cycle - leading indicators for the peak of this Land Cycle

Not so ago I introduced you to Roy Wenzlick’s writings. He’s possibly the greatest housing market forecaster of all time. 

 

Roy Wenzlick did an immense amount of research on the real estate cycle and was renowned for his forecasting abilities. 

 

However, unlike Homer Hoyt who is credited for ‘discovering’ the 18-year boom/bust patten as it applied to land – (in his 1933 thesis 100 Year of Land Values in Chicago which you can find in the Members Publication’s area of the website) - Wenzlick doesn’t get a mention on Wikipedia.

 

In fact, it’s incredibly difficult to find Wenzlick’s publications - or for that matter, any information about his life and work on the net. Still - if you are a subscriber to LCI however, you can access some of his writings in the Member’s Publication area of the website.

 

Knowledge of Wenzlick is important for students of the cycle.

 

Still – he wasn’t the only towering, yet somewhat forgotten figure to research the cycle as it applied to US real estate

 

Another that flies under the radar, is Clarence Long (1908 – 1994) (also referred to as ‘Doc Long.’)

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