Selling at the Land Cycle Peak? Get the timing right..

Many want to know how to time and sell at the top of the real estate cycle, which, I’ve repeated forecast to occur in 2026.

This is not an easy task.

More so because the median peak in property values differs per state and territory.

And note, you donʼt have to sell at the top!

As Iʼve stressed previously, history shows that good real estate - in the biggest states and cities globally by population (Sydney, Melbourne, London, New York, Brussels, Paris etc. etc. ) - typically exceeds the peak of the cycle in the first half of the next cycle…prior to the following mid-cycle downturn.

Note also, that the Australian property market has not always chimed to a regular boom/bust 18-year pattern either.

The economic downturns at the end of the 18.6-year land cycle have been muted in periods when there was minimal speculation on property.

Put simply - If there isnʼt a boom in land values, there wonʼt be a bust.

Furthermore, for many years in Australiaʼs early history, we had policies to prevent speculation on land (federal land taxes, rent control, and so forth). I went into detail on this in this edition..The Origins of Australia’s 18-Year Land Cycle - Meet the Man Who Rigged the Aussie Land Market...

This resulted in long periods of land price stagnation.

When speculation did occur, however, the crash in land values aligned with the 18- year cycle and the downturns were typically harsh.

A brief history of the booms and busts.. what to expect...

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