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Get Out While You Still Can – Updated Cycle Timing Guide for Property Investors

I have some interesting charts this week on the housing markets in Australia. There’s a marked divergence between property markets.


Sydney and Melbourne are going backwards, while Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide are still pushing on record highs.


It’s not because of interest rates or lending criteria which is same everywhere.  But the data and reasoning behind it does give some good lessons about the rules of real estate investing into the latter stages of the land cycle.


Rules that were recognised way back by the authors that first related an average 18-year cycle to real estate markets.


I’m talking about Roy Wenzlick and Homer Hoyt.


I’ll come to them shortly, but first, let’s get to the charts.


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