In Conversation with Callum Newman.. Timing the Peak of the Land Cycle

From next year, all first-home buyers will be eligible for the government’s 5% deposit ‘sub-prime’ housing scheme.

The government stepping in to guarantee the rest so they can skip paying lenders’ mortgage insurance.

Whichever way you look –the trend should be upwards now till the cycle’s end. Indeed – it’s last burn off before we get there…

They say in real estate you make your money when you buy – meaning if you negotiate well and buy smart, you set yourself up for a win later.

But you can just as easily make (or lose) money when you sell.

Put your property on the market when conditions are flat and buyer interest is thin, and it can impact those gains considerably.

In markets like Australia’s capital cities, where capital growth still reigns, just a couple more active buyers can add tens of thousands to your final sale price.

In other words, timing matters even within the boom phases of the land cycle.

Watch the market, track the policies that could shift expectations for capital growth, and position yourself to be a rentier, not a renter. That’s how the system works – and you’d be smart to work it to your advantage.

Right now, it’s a strong selling window – and I think that will last into the first half of next year and maybe through to the start of 2027. But then the tide will turn!

We’ll be at the end of the land cycle – and decimation follows.

The investment advice that could be financial suicide.

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